Employment-Based (EB) India Visa Backlog and Forecast based on USCIS data - click to download the latest data as of July 21 2025.

Annual Visa Allotment per Country per Category

Category	Share of 140,000	Per-Country Cap (7%)	Notes
EB1	28.6% ≈ 40,040	≈ 2,803	Competes with China, ROW
EB2	28.6% ≈ 40,040	≈ 2,803	Major backlog from India
EB3	28.6% ≈ 40,040	≈ 2,803	Slightly faster movement

Category	Approx. Backlog (Pending I-485)	Notes
EB1	10,867	Retrogressed, pending 2202 applications, no spillover to EB2
EB2	28,554	Retrogressed till Nov 2014
EB3	14,354	Retrogressed till Dec 2014

Category	Raw Backlog	After 30% Duplicates	Years to Clear (2,803 visas/yr)	Years to Clear (Post-Dupes)
EB2	28,554	18,290	≈ 10.2 years	≈ 7.1 years
EB3	14,354	10,218	≈ 5.1 years	≈ 3.6 years

Category	Spillover Source	Spillover Direction	Effect on EB2 India
EB1	EB4, EB5, ROW	Consumed internally	No spillover to EB2
EB2	EB1 (none this year)	None	No benefit
EB3	EB2 (if EB2 exhausts)	Possible (rare)	Slight spillover if EB2 clears backlog

Category	2024–2025 Outlook	Reasoning
EB1 India	Slow, no forward movement till late 2025	~11 k backlog, consumes spillover
EB2 India	Flat movement, few 2013 PDs may get processed for FY 26	~2,800/yr cap + limited spillover
EB3 India	Some forward movement possible, 2013 PDs may get processed	Lower backlog, slight internal redistribution

Visa Category

Priority Year

Priority Month

Duplicate Adjustment

EB1 Porting Adjustment

Spillover

Where the numbers come from: We use the latest USCIS pending-inventory data by visa category, year, and month.
Your place in line: We add up all pending cases ahead of you—from the oldest until your chosen month and year, in first-in, first-out order.
Removing duplicates: For EB2/EB3, you can drop 20% or 30% of cases to account for people who filed more than once.
Porting to EB1: Optionally remove another 0% or 5% of EB2/EB3 cases that might move into EB1.
Adding spillover visas: Choose to add 2,000 (minor) or 4,000 (moderate) extra visas to the regular annual cap of 2,800.
Visas per month: We divide the total yearly visas (2,800 + your spillover choice) by 12.
Time window: We count how many months remain from today until October 1, 2025, and multiply by the monthly rate to see how many visas will be issued by then.
Are you current by Oct 2025?
- If the adjusted cases ahead of you fit in that window, your date is current in October 2025.
- If not, we subtract those visas and calculate how many more months are needed at the monthly rate.
Special cases: EB2 January 2013 and EB3 April–June 2013 are already current by September 2025.